News — Around 13 millennia ago, a climate emergency triggered a worldwide decline in temperatures in the northern hemisphere. This period of extreme chill, referred to as the Younger Dryas, also resulted in significant dryness across the Mediterranean region, profoundly affecting both land-based and sea-based ecosystems. However, what information do we possess regarding the influence of this climatic shift on water flow within the Mediterranean?

A Nature's Communications Earth & Environment publication reveals that the Younger Dryas period witnessed a twofold increase in the movement of water masses from the eastern Mediterranean to the Atlantic Ocean via the Strait of Gibraltar. The study utilized a groundbreaking method involving neodymium (Nd) isotopes to reconstruct the Mediterranean's conditions since the last deglaciation approximately 14,000 years ago.

The doctoral thesis conducted by Sergio Trias-Navarro, under the guidance of Professor Leopoldo Pena and Professor Isabel Cacho from the esteemed research group in Marine Geosciences (GCR Marine Geosciences) at the University of Barcelona's Faculty of Earth Sciences, includes the aforementioned study. This research project showcases some of the most noteworthy outcomes of the European Research Council's TIMED project (ERC-Consolidator). The study's success is attributed to the substantial involvement of members from the GCR Marine Geosciences as well as experts from La Sapienza University of Rome, the University of Palermo in Italy, and the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich, Switzerland.

The most intense climate change in 13,000 years

The Younger Dryas stands out as the most severe climate change event in the past 13,000 years, encompassing a global impact of unprecedented magnitude. Its conclusion marked the culmination of the Holocene, the ongoing interglacial epoch. Professor Isabel Cacho from the University of Barcelona's Department of Earth and Ocean Dynamics explains that while there have been instances of climate variability within the Holocene, such as the Little Ice Age, the Medieval Climatic Anomaly, or the Roman Warm Period, these variations exhibited relatively lower intensity and distinct regional climatic manifestations, lacking the capacity to instigate global-scale alterations.

In addition, the research paper delves into the analysis of the final sapropel, an occurrence within the Holocene following the Younger Dryas, characterized by a remarkable surge in rainfall across the Mediterranean area, particularly in North Africa. The study presents the inaugural assessment of alterations in the profound circulation of the eastern Mediterranean during this period, indicating a potential reduction of up to 25% compared to the Younger Dryas. However, the experts note that the influence of this event on the oceanography of the North Atlantic remains unknown and requires further investigation.

The recent study provides support for the hypothesis that the augmented influx of salt from the Mediterranean Sea into the Atlantic Ocean during the Younger Dryas played a crucial role in reinvigorating the circulation patterns in the North Atlantic. This reactivation, in turn, resulted in rapid warming across Europe and the Mediterranean, thus marking the onset of the Holocene epoch. The findings lend credence to the idea that the interplay between salt input and oceanic circulation played a significant role in the climatic shifts and transitions between major geological periods.

According to researcher Sergio Trias-Navarro, Mediterranean water masses represent a significant contributor of salt to the North Atlantic. The salinity of water plays a crucial role in oceanography, as it directly influences the density of water masses. Consequently, it becomes a fundamental process in the creation of deep waters within the Atlantic Ocean and serves as a driving force behind global ocean circulation. Trias-Navarro's statement highlights the importance of understanding the role of Mediterranean waters and their impact on the broader dynamics of the Earth's oceans.

A technical innovation to study the oceans of the past

Similar to previous studies conducted by the GRC Marine Geosciences, the team has employed the pioneering method of utilizing neodymium radiogenic isotopes as geochemical tracers to reconstruct past oceanographic conditions. This analytical investigation was conducted within the exceptional research facilities of the LIRA and PANTHALASSA laboratories, located within the Faculty of Earth Sciences and the UB's Scientific and Technological Centers (CCiTUB) in Catalonia. The expertise of Leopoldo Pena and Isabel Cacho, who coordinated the project, contributed to the success of this study, further highlighting the significance of these research facilities in advancing our understanding of Earth's geological processes.

According to Professor Leopoldo Pena, co-author of the paper, neodymium isotopes offer a significant advantage over other geochemical tracers due to their conservative nature. Unlike other tracers, Nd isotopes remain unaffected by biological processes such as productivity or organic matter degradation. This characteristic allows for a more accurate and reliable reconstruction of oceanographic conditions. The technique utilizing Nd isotopes transcends temporal boundaries, enabling oceanographic reconstructions of both the past and the present. Professor Pena emphasizes that this approach provides valuable insights into the dynamics of the ocean and enables the reconstruction of oceanography from eras predating the availability of other scientific tools for observation and measurement.

The authors of the study highlight that numerous mysteries remain regarding the potential influence of Mediterranean waters on the North Atlantic circulation. They emphasize that, despite its scientific significance, the role of the Mediterranean in Atlantic Ocean studies has often been overlooked or underestimated. They assert that a substantial portion of oceanographic research focusing on the Atlantic Ocean fails to incorporate the Mediterranean, possibly downplaying the impact of Mediterranean waters on the broader Atlantic circulation. This observation underscores the importance of further investigation and recognition of the Mediterranean's role in shaping and influencing oceanic processes.

The latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) highlights the Younger Dryas as an illustrative instance of foreseeable changes in Mediterranean rainfall resulting from the anticipated decline in North Atlantic circulation. Isabel Cacho, the coordinator of the TIMED project, explains that future projections indicate a weakening of Mediterranean circulation and, consequently, a reduced contribution to the Atlantic Ocean by the end of the 21st century. Given the ongoing climate change scenario, studies like this one are becoming increasingly important in enhancing our comprehension of the Mediterranean circulation's sensitivity to diverse climatic conditions. The research aids in elucidating the potential implications and impacts of climate change on the region, aiding in the development of informed strategies and responses.

The research team acknowledges that the Younger Dryas may not serve as a direct parallel to future climate changes due to the current amplified greenhouse effect. However, their study reveals that the anticipated increase in aridity by the end of the century has the potential to trigger a strengthening of the Mediterranean circulation. Nevertheless, they also note that the projected warming could counteract this effect. Consequently, it is crucial to gain a deeper understanding of the respective influences of temperature and humidity on the evolution of the Mediterranean circulation. By discerning the relative significance of these variables, researchers can better comprehend and forecast the complex interplay between climate factors and oceanic dynamics in the Mediterranean region. Such understanding is pivotal for addressing the challenges posed by climate change and developing effective adaptation strategies.